Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MARA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-25 6.401389 7.461117 8.606976 9.933818 11.423516 13.039992 14.922149
2026-02-01 4.750088 6.109324 7.695008 9.665271 12.030339 14.760111 18.129943
2026-02-08 3.756152 5.223577 7.039987 9.420932 12.423659 16.047031 20.708092
2026-02-15 3.027217 4.514266 6.453586 9.115420 12.615046 16.996177 22.823918
2026-02-22 2.607483 4.132959 6.214020 9.183857 13.225806 18.440314 25.566493
2026-03-01 2.262783 3.798699 5.983678 9.214910 13.751716 19.763075 28.175390
2026-03-08 1.993365 3.532391 5.808896 9.287184 14.310182 21.126289 30.866667
2026-03-15 1.751853 3.273121 5.609955 9.293282 14.755041 22.332760 33.372647
2026-03-22 1.605464 3.144573 5.588949 9.547615 15.552868 24.043554 36.617002
2026-03-29 1.465808 3.007578 5.537080 9.741892 16.260419 25.642668 39.750437
2026-04-05 1.315529 2.831500 5.402489 9.790033 16.740445 26.922124 42.463278
2026-04-12 1.124910 2.555848 5.074339 9.498835 16.675224 27.390362 44.011491
2026-04-19 0.968313 2.323918 4.800059 9.276536 16.706424 28.006499 45.808143
2026-04-26 0.828537 2.103914 4.523274 9.024735 16.668969 28.507920 47.442433
2026-05-03 0.710784 1.910251 4.272675 8.793809 16.643469 29.014230 49.086396
2026-05-10 0.602378 1.718335 4.003624 8.505090 16.497867 29.316315 50.415667
2026-05-17 0.545743 1.634209 3.934231 8.569756 16.947127 30.567025 53.236815
2026-05-24 0.491817 1.547592 3.850404 8.599101 17.332372 31.722902 55.938109
2026-05-31 0.447200 1.476419 3.790569 8.667402 17.784931 32.998257 58.858783
2026-06-07 0.402064 1.396043 3.702620 8.673164 18.122810 34.091814 61.515536
2026-06-14 0.379333 1.371767 3.733529 8.913560 18.891703 35.921717 65.400455
2026-06-21 0.354236 1.336732 3.736800 9.097234 19.562442 37.604574 69.087228
2026-06-28 0.322151 1.275842 3.675014 9.142753 19.976985 38.863263 72.110058